The editor-in-chief of the statistical analysis website said on ABC’s “Good Morning America” Wednesday that Hillary Clinton has a 79 percent chance of winning compared to 20 percent for Donald Trump.
This morning on ABC’s “Good Morning America,” FiveThirtyEight’s Nate Silver predicted thatHillary Clinton will win the presidential election against Donald Trump.
Clinton has a 79 percent chance of winning, compared with Trump’s 20 percent, according to FiveThirtyEight’s forecast.
“We’re at halftime of the election right now,” Silver said. “She’s taking a 7-point, maybe a 10-point lead into halftime. There’s a lot of football left to be played. She’s ahead in almost every poll, every swing state, every national poll.”
Silver said “both candidates have a lot of room to grow,” but the only recent candidate to blow a lead like the one Clinton holds was Massachusetts’ then-Gov. Michael Dukakis in 1988.
“Trump has never been ahead of Clinton in the general election campaign,” Silver said. “He did a great job of appealing to the 40 percent of the GOP he had to win the election, the primary — a lot different than winning 51 percent of 100 percent.”
Silver called 49 states correctly in the 2008 presidential election and got all 50 in 2012.
— Good Morning America (@GMA) June 29, 2016